{"away":"kaa-gent","batch_id":"2026-11-04T1811Z-model-predict","competition":"conference-league","cutoff_utc":"2026-11-04T18:11:22Z","data_status":"limited_context","fixture_id":"ec-2627-0005","home":"kups-kuopio","inputs":{"elo_away":1614.7,"elo_home":1158.9,"lambda_away":1.290361,"lambda_home":0.853363,"last_result_used":"2026-11-04","p_dc":[0.249274,0.281058,0.469667],"p_elo":[0.082912,0.195657,0.721431],"p_market":null,"p_stat":[0.211099,0.272409,0.516492],"retained_mass":0.999999999877,"rho":0.021016,"small_sample":["kups-kuopio"],"weights":{"temperature":1.05,"w_dc":0.8}},"kickoff_utc":"2026-11-05T17:45:00Z","late":false,"locked_at":"2026-11-04T18:13:13Z","model_version":"v1.3-2026-11","published":{"btts":0.4104,"draw_risk":false,"over_2_5":0.3668,"p":[0.2111,0.2724,0.5165],"p_display":[21.1,27.2,51.7],"pick":"away","source":"statistical","tier":"medium","top_score_in_pick":"0-1","top_score_overall":"0-1","top_scores":[{"p":0.1693,"score":"0-1"},{"p":0.1225,"score":"1-1"},{"p":0.111,"score":"0-0"},{"p":0.1073,"score":"0-2"},{"p":0.0916,"score":"1-2"}]},"revision":1,"shadow":{"agents":[],"ai_combined":null,"note":"AI layer not run for this fixture"},"slug":"kups-kuopio-vs-kaa-gent-2026-11-05"}