{"away":"hajduk-split","batch_id":"2026-11-04T1811Z-model-predict","competition":"conference-league","cutoff_utc":"2026-11-04T18:11:22Z","data_status":"limited_context","fixture_id":"ec-2627-0006","home":"lincoln-red-imps","inputs":{"elo_away":1463.2,"elo_home":1189.7,"lambda_away":1.616369,"lambda_home":1.028742,"last_result_used":"2026-11-04","p_dc":[0.243708,0.243244,0.513047],"p_elo":[0.183774,0.256564,0.559662],"p_market":null,"p_stat":[0.235628,0.250726,0.513646],"retained_mass":0.999999999773,"rho":0.021016,"small_sample":["lincoln-red-imps","hajduk-split"],"weights":{"temperature":1.05,"w_dc":0.8}},"kickoff_utc":"2026-11-05T17:45:00Z","late":false,"locked_at":"2026-11-04T18:13:13Z","model_version":"v1.3-2026-11","published":{"btts":0.5143,"draw_risk":false,"over_2_5":0.4907,"p":[0.2356,0.2508,0.5136],"p_display":[23.6,25.1,51.3],"pick":"away","source":"statistical","tier":"medium","top_score_in_pick":"0-1","top_score_overall":"1-1","top_scores":[{"p":0.1192,"score":"1-1"},{"p":0.1174,"score":"0-1"},{"p":0.0955,"score":"1-2"},{"p":0.0928,"score":"0-2"},{"p":0.073,"score":"1-0"}]},"revision":1,"shadow":{"agents":[],"ai_combined":null,"note":"AI layer not run for this fixture"},"slug":"lincoln-red-imps-vs-hajduk-split-2026-11-05"}