{"away":"torino","batch_id":"2026-11-01T0738Z-model-predict","competition":"serie-a","cutoff_utc":"2026-11-01T07:38:32Z","data_status":"limited_context","fixture_id":"sa-2627-0002","home":"frosinone","inputs":{"elo_away":1410.1,"elo_home":1294.8,"lambda_away":1.437546,"lambda_home":1.872327,"last_result_used":"2026-10-31","p_dc":[0.477209,0.227266,0.295525],"p_elo":[0.301781,0.28314,0.415079],"p_market":null,"p_stat":[0.387207,0.256168,0.356625],"retained_mass":0.999999999808,"rho":-0.014284,"small_sample":["frosinone"],"weights":{"temperature":0.975,"w_dc":0.5}},"kickoff_utc":"2026-11-01T14:00:00Z","late":false,"locked_at":"2026-11-01T07:39:01Z","model_version":"v1.1-2026-10","published":{"btts":0.6555,"draw_risk":false,"over_2_5":0.6314,"p":[0.3872,0.2562,0.3566],"p_display":[38.7,25.6,35.7],"pick":"home","source":"statistical","tier":"low","top_score_in_pick":"2-1","top_score_overall":"1-1","top_scores":[{"p":0.1124,"score":"1-1"},{"p":0.0853,"score":"1-2"},{"p":0.0747,"score":"2-1"},{"p":0.0746,"score":"2-2"},{"p":0.0617,"score":"0-1"}]},"revision":1,"shadow":{"agents":[],"ai_combined":null,"note":"AI layer not run for this fixture"},"slug":"frosinone-vs-torino-2026-11-01"}