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F.C. København vs Iberia 1999 prediction: our model backs F.C. København

F.C. København
Conference LeagueVSParken Stadium, Copenhagen
Iberia 1999
F.C. København83%
Draw12%
Iberia 19995%
HighStatistical forecast · no reviewed analysisLocked 8a55448989feFree · no sign-up

Quick answer

Our model gives F.C. København a 83% chance of beating Iberia 1999 at Parken Stadium, with the draw at 12% and Iberia 1999 at 5%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13%). High confidence.

Match prediction

Forecast locked ·
F.C. København83%Pick · Home win
Draw12%Draw
Iberia 19995%Away win

90-minute result, extra time not included. Rounded so the three add up to 100%.

Most likely scores

2 – 013%
3 – 013%
1 – 09%

2-0 is both the single most likely score and the most likely F.C. København win.

Full score grid and top 5
Chance of each score, %. Rows: F.C. København goals. Columns: Iberia 1999 goals.
F.C. København goals by Iberia 1999 goals012345
03.62.00.5<0.1<0.1<0.1
19.35.81.50.3<0.1<0.1
213.27.42.30.4<0.1<0.1
312.57.02.00.4<0.1<0.1
49.05.01.40.3<0.1<0.1
55.12.90.80.1<0.1<0.1

Top 5 scores

  1. 2-013.2%
  2. 3-012.5%
  3. 1-09.3%
  4. 4-09.0%
  5. 2-17.4%
Correct score probabilities for every match

Model panel

ModelF.C. KøbenhavnDrawIberia 1999Likely score
Statistical modelElo + Dixon-Coles82.9%12.1%5.0%2-0
Final (published)V1: equals the statistical model82.9%12.1%5.0%2-0

Claude and Codex run only for selected leagues and have not run for this match, so only the statistical model is shown. In V1 the published probability is the statistical model alone; Claude and Codex run in shadow and are graded separately.

How we grade each model

Statistical forecast

No reviewed analysis for this match. The probabilities come from the statistical model only and are not adjusted for team news. The team news below lists each absence with its sources.

Team news

Checked . Team news does not change the published probabilities.

F.C. København

PlayerStatusDetailSources
Magnus MattssonOut (injury: Day to day)Injury1 source
RobertOut (injury: Late November 2026)Injury1 source
Thapelo MasekoOut (injury: Mid November 2026)Injury1 source

Iberia 1999

No injuries or suspensions listed in our sources for this match. That does not confirm a fully available squad.

Markets

Over/Under 2.5 goals

66% Over 2.534% Under 2.5

Both teams to score

41% Yes59% No

From the same score grid as the result probabilities. All Over/Under picksAll BTTS picks

Recent form

Days of rest count matches in every competition, cups included.

F.C. København10th · 4 pts from 2 · 3 days' rest

  1. Won 3–0 v Braga (home), 15 Oct
  2. Drew 2–2 v Red Star Belgrade (away), 22 Oct

Last 2 Conference League matches, latest on the right

  1. Drew 1–1 v AGF (home), 18 Oct, Danish Superliga
  2. Drew 2–2 v Red Star Belgrade (away), 22 Oct, Conference League
  3. Drew 1–1 v Odense Boldklub (home), 26 Oct, Danish Superliga
  4. Won 3–0 v Aarhus Fremad (away), 29 Oct, DBU Pokalen
  5. Won 2–0 v Sønderjyske Fodbold (away), 2 Nov, Danish Superliga

Last 5 in all competitions, including cups

Rest counted from Danish Superliga v Sønderjyske Fodbold, 2 Nov

Iberia 199929th · 1 pts from 2 · 5 days' rest

  1. Lost 0–2 v Sint-Truidense (away), 15 Oct
  2. Drew 1–1 v Mjällby AIF (home), 22 Oct

Last 2 Conference League matches, latest on the right

  1. Lost 0–2 v Sint-Truidense (away), 15 Oct, Conference League
  2. Won 2–0 v Dila Gori (away), 19 Oct, Erovnuli Liga
  3. Drew 1–1 v Mjällby AIF (home), 22 Oct, Conference League
  4. Won 3–2 v Torpedo Kutaisi (home), 26 Oct, Erovnuli Liga
  5. Drew 0–0 v Dinamo Tbilisi (away), 31 Oct, Erovnuli Liga

Last 5 in all competitions, including cups

Rest counted from Erovnuli Liga v Dinamo Tbilisi, 31 Oct

Head-to-head

These clubs have not met since 2021/22, the start of our results data. Meetings in divisions and cups we do not cover are not included.

What could go wrong

  • A Iberia 1999 win at 5% is far from impossible: about one in 20.
  • Team news after the lock can change the picture. The locked numbers do not move; we grade the forecast as published.

FAQ

Who will win F.C. København vs Iberia 1999?

Our model makes F.C. København the favourite at 83%. Draw 12%, Iberia 1999 win 5%.

What is the most likely score in F.C. København vs Iberia 1999?

2-0 at 13%. The most likely F.C. København win is 2-0 (13%).

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score: 41% yes, 59% no.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

Over 2.5 goals 66%, under 2.5 goals 34%.

When was this prediction made?

It was locked at 4 Nov 2026 20:09 UTC, 24 hours before kickoff, with sha256 8a55448989fe. It cannot be changed afterwards and is graded after full time.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling