Correct score predictions for the next 48 hours

Every number comes from the score grid behind our 1X2 forecast: a Dixon-Coles model turns each side’s expected goals into a probability for every score from 0–0 to 10–10. The single most likely score rarely passes 15%, so even the top score misses most of the time.

45 matches in the next 48 hours · 35 with a locked forecast. Forecasts lock 24 hours before kickoff; later matches are listed without probabilities.

Showing 45 of 45 matches

KickoffLeagueMatchMost likely2nd3rdAnalysis
Conference LeagueKuPS KuopioKAA Gent0–1 17%1–1 12%0–0 11%Likeliest KAA Gent win: 0–1 (17%)
Conference LeagueGetafeBrighton0–1 16%0–2 12%1–1 12%Likeliest Brighton win: 0–1 (16%)
Conference LeagueMjällby AIFBorac Banja Luka1–0 15%1–1 13%0–0 12%Likeliest Mjällby AIF win: 1–0 (15%)
Conference LeaguePanathinaikosCSKA Sofia1–0 14%2–0 14%2–1 9%Likeliest Panathinaikos win: 1–0 (14%)
Europa LeagueLevski SofiaJagiellonia Bialystok1–0 14%1–1 13%0–0 12%Likeliest Levski Sofia win: 1–0 (14%)
Europa LeagueSunderlandDinamo Zagreb1–0 14%2–0 13%1–1 10%Likeliest Sunderland win: 1–0 (14%)
Conference LeagueAtalantaKairat Almaty2–0 14%3–0 13%1–0 10%Likeliest Atalanta win: 2–0 (14%)
Conference LeagueFC TwentePafos1–0 13%1–1 12%2–0 11%Likeliest FC Twente win: 1–0 (13%)
Conference LeagueF.C. KøbenhavnIberia 19992–0 13%3–0 13%1–0 9%Likeliest F.C. København win: 2–0 (13%)
Europa LeagueLillestromViktoria Plzen1–1 13%1–0 12%0–1 11%Likeliest Viktoria Plzen win: 0–1 (11%)
Conference LeagueRiga FCJablonec1–1 13%1–0 12%0–1 11%Likeliest Riga FC win: 1–0 (12%)
Europa LeagueHapoel Be'erOFI Crete1–1 13%1–0 12%0–1 11%Likeliest Hapoel Be'er win: 1–0 (12%)
Europa LeagueCelta VigoUnion St.-Gilloise1–1 13%1–0 11%0–1 11%Likeliest Celta Vigo win: 1–0 (11%)
Europa LeagueNEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia1–1 13%0–1 13%1–0 10%Likeliest Omonia Nicosia win: 0–1 (13%)
Conference LeagueAGFBraga1–1 13%0–1 13%1–0 9%Likeliest Braga win: 0–1 (13%)
Conference LeagueFC ThunHearts1–1 12%0–1 10%1–2 9%Likeliest Hearts win: 0–1 (10%)
Conference LeagueCSU CraiovaEgnatia1–1 12%1–0 10%0–1 9%Likeliest CSU Craiova win: 1–0 (10%)
Europa LeagueAZ AlkmaarJuventus1–1 12%0–1 12%1–2 9%Likeliest Juventus win: 0–1 (12%)
Conference LeagueLincoln Red ImpsHajduk Split1–1 12%0–1 12%1–2 10%Likeliest Hajduk Split win: 0–1 (12%)
Europa LeagueAnderlechtRB Salzburg1–1 12%1–0 10%2–1 9%Likeliest Anderlecht win: 1–0 (10%)
Conference LeagueTrabzonsporSC Freiburg1–1 12%0–1 9%1–2 9%Likeliest SC Freiburg win: 0–1 (9%)
Europa LeagueSparta PragueBournemouth0–2 12%0–1 11%1–2 10%Likeliest Bournemouth win: 0–2 (12%)
Europa LeagueSK Sturm GrazNK Celje1–0 12%1–1 11%2–0 10%Likeliest SK Sturm Graz win: 1–0 (12%)
Europa LeagueTorreenseArarat-Armenia1–1 12%1–0 10%2–1 9%Likeliest Torreense win: 1–0 (10%)
Conference LeagueFC LuganoKauno Zalgiris1–1 11%1–0 11%2–1 9%Likeliest FC Lugano win: 1–0 (11%)
Europa LeagueReal SociedadLyon1–1 11%2–1 9%1–0 8%Likeliest Real Sociedad win: 2–1 (9%)
Europa LeagueAC MilanFerencvaros2–0 11%1–0 10%1–1 9%Likeliest AC Milan win: 2–0 (11%)
Conference LeagueFC MidtjyllandAjax Amsterdam1–1 11%2–1 9%1–0 8%Likeliest FC Midtjylland win: 2–1 (9%)
Conference LeagueSint-TruidenseSK Brann1–1 11%2–1 9%1–0 8%Likeliest Sint-Truidense win: 2–1 (9%)
Europa LeagueCrystal PalaceTSG Hoffenheim1–1 11%1–0 10%2–1 10%Likeliest Crystal Palace win: 1–0 (10%)
Europa LeagueCelticBeşiktaş1–1 11%2–1 8%1–2 8%Likeliest Celtic win: 2–1 (8%)
Conference LeagueAS MonacoFC Nordsjælland1–1 10%2–1 10%1–0 9%Likeliest AS Monaco win: 2–1 (10%)
Conference LeagueRed Star BelgradeInter D'Escaldes2–0 10%3–0 9%2–1 9%Likeliest Red Star Belgrade win: 2–0 (10%)
Europa LeagueBenficaLech Poznan3–0 10%2–0 9%4–0 8%Likeliest Benfica win: 3–0 (10%)
Europa LeagueBayer LeverkusenMarseille2–1 10%1–1 9%2–0 9%Likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win: 2–1 (10%)
Süper LigGaziantep FKKasımpaşaForecast not yet locked
EredivisieWillem IIPEC ZwolleForecast not yet locked
BundesligaHamburger SVBorussia MönchengladbachForecast not yet locked
Ligue 1ToulouseStrasbourgForecast not yet locked
Serie AVeneziaUdineseForecast not yet locked
EFL ChampionshipDerby CountyBolton WanderersForecast not yet locked
La LigaSevillaAlavésForecast not yet locked
Premier LeagueEvertonCoventry CityForecast not yet locked
Primeira LigaFamalicãoAroucaForecast not yet locked
Süper LigEyüpsporKocaelisporForecast not yet locked

FAQ

What is the most likely correct score in the next 48 hours?

KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent: 0–1 at 17%, the highest single-score probability among 35 locked forecasts. It is still expected to miss about 83% of the time.

How often is the most likely score right?

In 72 graded matches our single most likely score was right 11.1% of the time, and the most likely score within our 1X2 pick 8.3%. Exact scores are hard to call for any model.

Why is 1–1 so often the most likely score?

Low scores carry the most probability in a Poisson-type score grid. When two teams are close, 1–1 can top the grid even if a home win is the more likely result overall, which is why we also show the likeliest score inside our 1X2 pick.

When are these probabilities published?

Each forecast, including its score grid, is locked before kickoff (normally 24 hours before), hashed and published in our ledger. Matches further away are listed without probabilities until then; locked numbers never change.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling