Monthly reportOctober 2026: our first graded forecastsThe six forecasts graded on 31 October, the first day of our public record: how the statistical model did against a simple benchmark, and the results it did not expect.AI reconstruction · Camp Nou, pre-2023Football predictions today – Thursday 5 November
35 matches · 8 high-confidence picks · 3 postponed. Win, draw and loss probabilities for every match in the leagues we cover, locked before kickoff (normally 24 hours before) and graded after full time. Dates follow each league's match calendar; kickoff times are in your local time.
Showing 38 of 38 fixtures
| Kickoff | League | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Tier · Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference League | AGFBraga | 29%27%44% | Low | |||
| Conference League | AtalantaKairat Almaty | 83%12%5% | High | |||
| Conference League | FC MidtjyllandAjax Amsterdam | 48%24%28% | Low | |||
| Conference League | FC ThunHearts | 34%26%40% | Low | |||
| Conference League | KuPS KuopioKAA Gent | 21%27%52% | Medium | |||
| Conference League | Lincoln Red ImpsHajduk Split | 24%25%51% | Medium | |||
| Conference League | Mjällby AIFBorac Banja Luka | 43%29%28% | Low | |||
| Conference League | Red Star BelgradeInter D'Escaldes | 71%17%12% | High | |||
| Conference League | TrabzonsporSC Freiburg | 29%25%46% | Low | |||
| Europa League | AC MilanFerencvaros | 67%20%13% | High | |||
| Europa League | AnderlechtRB Salzburg | 48%25%27% | Low | |||
| Europa League | Crystal PalaceTSG Hoffenheim | 56%23%21% | Medium | |||
| Europa League | Levski SofiaJagiellonia Bialystok | 40%29%31% | Low | |||
| Europa League | LillestromViktoria Plzen | 36%28%36% | Low | |||
| Europa League | NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia | 29%27%44% | Low | |||
| Europa League | Real SociedadLyon | 45%25%30% | Low | |||
| Europa League | Sparta PragueBournemouth | 12%19%69% | High | |||
| Conference League | AS MonacoFC Nordsjælland | 59%22%19% | Medium | |||
| Conference League | CSU CraiovaEgnatia | 40%26%34% | Low | |||
| Conference League | F.C. KøbenhavnIberia 1999 | 83%12%5% | High | |||
| Conference League | FC LuganoKauno Zalgiris | 54%24%22% | Medium | |||
| Conference League | FC TwentePafos | 54%25%21% | Medium | |||
| Conference League | GetafeBrighton | 19%26%55% | Medium | |||
| Conference League | PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia | 69%20%11% | High | |||
| Conference League | Riga FCJablonec | 38%28%34% | Low | |||
| Conference League | Sint-TruidenseSK Brann | 50%24%26% | Low | |||
| Europa League | AZ AlkmaarJuventus | 26%26%48% | Low | |||
| Europa League | Bayer LeverkusenMarseille | 61%21%18% | Medium | |||
| Europa League | BenficaLech Poznan | 82%12%6% | High | |||
| Europa League | Celta VigoUnion St.-Gilloise | 38%27%35% | Low | |||
| Europa League | CelticBeşiktaş | 42%24%34% | Low | |||
| Europa League | Hapoel Be'erOFI Crete | 40%28%32% | Low | |||
| Europa League | SK Sturm GrazNK Celje | 58%23%19% | Medium | |||
| Europa League | SunderlandDinamo Zagreb | 67%21%12% | High | |||
| Europa League | TorreenseArarat-Armenia | 49%25%26% | Low | |||
| Saudi Pro League | Al KholoodAl Khaleej | Postponed · new date to be confirmed | ||||
| Saudi Pro League | AbhaAl Shabab | Postponed · new date to be confirmed | ||||
| Saudi Pro League | Al QadsiahAl Fayha | Postponed · new date to be confirmed | ||||
No matches fit these filters.
- HighHigh picks have been correct 70–83% of the time.
- MediumMedium picks have been correct about 61% of the time.
- LowLow picks have been correct 39–49% of the time.
Yesterday: 8 of 13 picks correct, misses included.Yesterday's graded results
FAQ
How many matches do you predict today?
35 matches across the leagues we cover have a published forecast today. Matches not yet locked or still waiting for data checks are listed without probabilities.
What does a High confidence pick mean?
The most likely result has a probability of 65% or more. Historically, High picks have been correct 70–83% of the time. Medium and Low picks are right less often, and we show those numbers too.
When are these predictions locked?
Each forecast is locked before kickoff, normally 24 hours before (a match that enters our tracking later is locked straight away), hashed and published in our ledger. It cannot change after that, and it is graded after full time, misses included.
Are these predictions free?
Yes. Every prediction, analysis and graded result is free to read, with no account and no paid tier. The site is for information and entertainment, not betting advice.
Inside the game
Monthly reportOctober 2026: our first graded forecastsThe six forecasts graded on 31 October, the first day of our public record: how the statistical model did against a simple benchmark, and the results it did not expect.AI reconstruction · Camp Nou, pre-2023For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling