Over/Under 2.5 goals predictions for the next 48 hours

Over 2.5 means three or more goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. We add up every score with three goals or more in the same Dixon-Coles score grid that produces our 1X2 forecast, so the goal numbers always agree with the result probabilities.

44 matches in the next 48 hours · 35 with a locked forecast. Forecasts lock 24 hours before kickoff; later matches are listed without probabilities.

Showing 44 of 44 matches

KickoffLeagueMatchOver 2.5Under 2.5Exp. goalsAnalysis
Europa LeagueBenficaLech Poznan76%24%4.0
Conference LeagueRed Star BelgradeInter D'Escaldes66%34%3.5
Conference LeagueF.C. KøbenhavnIberia 199966%34%3.4
Conference LeagueAtalantaKairat Almaty64%36%3.3
Europa LeagueBayer LeverkusenMarseille63%37%3.3
Europa LeagueCelticBeşiktaş62%38%3.2
Conference LeagueAS MonacoFC Nordsjælland60%40%3.1
Conference LeagueSint-TruidenseSK Brann59%41%3.1
Europa LeagueSparta PragueBournemouth59%41%3.0
Conference LeagueFC MidtjyllandAjax Amsterdam59%41%3.1
Europa LeagueAC MilanFerencvaros58%42%3.1
Europa LeagueReal SociedadLyon58%42%3.0
Europa LeagueCrystal PalaceTSG Hoffenheim57%43%3.0
Conference LeagueTrabzonsporSC Freiburg55%45%2.9
Europa LeagueTorreenseArarat-Armenia54%46%2.9
Europa LeagueSK Sturm GrazNK Celje52%48%2.8
Europa LeagueAnderlechtRB Salzburg52%48%2.8
Conference LeagueFC LuganoKauno Zalgiris52%48%2.8
Conference LeagueCSU CraiovaEgnatia50%50%2.7
Conference LeagueFC ThunHearts50%50%2.7
Conference LeaguePanathinaikosCSKA Sofia49%51%2.6
Conference LeagueLincoln Red ImpsHajduk Split49%51%2.6
Europa LeagueSunderlandDinamo Zagreb49%51%2.6
Europa LeagueAZ AlkmaarJuventus46%54%2.5
Conference LeagueFC TwentePafos45%55%2.5
Europa LeagueCelta VigoUnion St.-Gilloise43%57%2.4
Conference LeagueAGFBraga43%57%2.4
Europa LeagueNEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia43%57%2.4
Europa LeagueHapoel Be'erOFI Crete42%58%2.4
Conference LeagueRiga FCJablonec42%58%2.4
Europa LeagueLillestromViktoria Plzen41%59%2.3
Conference LeagueGetafeBrighton39%61%2.3
Conference LeagueKuPS KuopioKAA Gent37%63%2.1
Conference LeagueMjällby AIFBorac Banja Luka35%65%2.1
Europa LeagueLevski SofiaJagiellonia Bialystok35%65%2.1
Süper LigGaziantep FKKasımpaşaForecast not yet locked
EredivisieWillem IIPEC ZwolleForecast not yet locked
BundesligaHamburger SVBorussia MönchengladbachForecast not yet locked
Ligue 1ToulouseStrasbourgForecast not yet locked
Serie AVeneziaUdineseForecast not yet locked
EFL ChampionshipDerby CountyBolton WanderersForecast not yet locked
La LigaSevillaAlavésForecast not yet locked
Premier LeagueEvertonCoventry CityForecast not yet locked
Primeira LigaFamalicãoAroucaForecast not yet locked

FAQ

Which matches are most likely to see over 2.5 goals?

Highest Over 2.5 probabilities among locked forecasts in the next 48 hours: Benfica vs Lech Poznan 76%; Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes 66%; F.C. København vs Iberia 1999 66%.

How accurate are your over/under 2.5 predictions?

Across 72 graded matches the more likely side was right 59.7% of the time; always picking the more common side would have scored 61.1%. That is close to the base rate.

Which matches are most likely to stay under 2.5 goals?

Highest Under 2.5 probabilities among locked forecasts: Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Bialystok 65%; Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka 65%; KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent 63%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean?

Three or more goals in total in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Two goals or fewer is Under 2.5. Extra time and penalties do not count.

When are these probabilities published?

Each forecast, including its score grid, is locked before kickoff (normally 24 hours before), hashed and published in our ledger. Matches further away are listed without probabilities until then; locked numbers never change.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling