Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka prediction: our model backs Mjällby AIF
Quick answer
Our model gives Mjällby AIF a 43% chance of beating Borac Banja Luka at Olympia, with the draw at 29% and Borac Banja Luka at 28%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15%). Low confidence.
Match prediction
Forecast locked ·90-minute result, extra time not included. Rounded so the three add up to 100%.
Most likely scores
1-0 is both the single most likely score and the most likely Mjällby AIF win.
Full score grid and top 5
| Mjällby AIF goals by Borac Banja Luka goals | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.3 | <0.1 |
| 1 | 14.9 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | <0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | <0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 | <0.1 |
Top 5 scores
- 1-014.9%
- 1-113.0%
- 0-011.8%
- 0-111.1%
- 2-08.8%
Model panel
| Model | Mjällby AIF | Draw | Borac Banja Luka | Likely score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statistical modelElo + Dixon-Coles | 43.4% | 28.8% | 27.8% | 1-0 |
| Final (published)V1: equals the statistical model | 43.4% | 28.8% | 27.8% | 1-0 |
Claude and Codex run only for selected leagues and have not run for this match, so only the statistical model is shown. In V1 the published probability is the statistical model alone; Claude and Codex run in shadow and are graded separately.
How we grade each modelStatistical forecast
No reviewed analysis for this match. The probabilities come from the statistical model only and are not adjusted for team news. The team news below lists each absence with its sources.
Team news
Checked . Team news does not change the published probabilities.
Mjällby AIF
| Player | Status | Detail | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villum Dalsgaard | Out (injury: Mid November 2026) | Injury | 1 source |
| Timo Stavitski | Out (injury: Mid November 2026) | Injury | 1 source |
Borac Banja Luka
No absences listed in our sources for this match yet. That does not confirm a fully available squad.
Markets
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Both teams to score
From the same score grid as the result probabilities. All Over/Under picksAll BTTS picks
Recent form
Days of rest count matches in every competition, cups included.
Mjällby AIF12th · 4 pts from 2 · 3 days' rest
- Won 2–0 v Inter D'Escaldes (home), 15 Oct
- Drew 1–1 v Iberia 1999 (away), 22 Oct
Last 2 Conference League matches, latest on the right
- Lost 0–1 v Västerås SK (away), 18 Oct, Swedish Allsvenskan
- Drew 1–1 v Iberia 1999 (away), 22 Oct, Conference League
- Lost 0–2 v Hammarby IF (home), 25 Oct, Swedish Allsvenskan
- Won 2–1 v Örgryte IS (away), 29 Oct, Swedish Allsvenskan
- Drew 0–0 v Kalmar FF (home), 2 Nov, Swedish Allsvenskan
Last 5 in all competitions, including cups
Rest counted from Swedish Allsvenskan v Kalmar FF, 2 Nov
Borac Banja Luka14th · 3 pts from 2 · 5 days' rest
- Lost 1–2 v Panathinaikos (away), 15 Oct
- Won 2–0 v KuPS Kuopio (home), 22 Oct
Last 2 Conference League matches, latest on the right
- Won 2–0 v BSK Banja Luka (home), 10 Oct, Premier League
- Lost 1–2 v Panathinaikos (away), 15 Oct, Conference League
- Won 2–0 v KuPS Kuopio (home), 22 Oct, Conference League
- Won 2–0 v Sloga Doboj (home), 25 Oct, Premier League
- Won 4–2 v Čelik Zenica (away), 31 Oct, Premier League
Last 5 in all competitions, including cups
Rest counted from Premier League v Čelik Zenica, 31 Oct
Head-to-head
These clubs have not met since 2021/22, the start of our results data. Meetings in divisions and cups we do not cover are not included.
What could go wrong
- A draw is 29%: roughly one in 3 matches with these numbers ends level.
- A Borac Banja Luka win at 28% is far from impossible: about one in 4.
- Team news after the lock can change the picture. The locked numbers do not move; we grade the forecast as published.
FAQ
Who will win Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our model makes Mjällby AIF the favourite at 43%. Draw 29%, Borac Banja Luka win 28%.
What is the most likely score in Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka?
1-0 at 15%. The most likely Mjällby AIF win is 1-0 (15%).
Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: 42% yes, 58% no.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
Over 2.5 goals 35%, under 2.5 goals 65%.
When was this prediction made?
It was locked at 4 Nov 2026 18:13 UTC, 24 hours before kickoff, with sha256 d40721f01953. It cannot be changed afterwards and is graded after full time.
For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling