Ajax Amsterdam predictions

Netherlands · Eredivisie · Johan Cruijff Arena

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Conference League

FC Midtjylland
VSMCH Arena
Ajax Amsterdam
FC Midtjylland48%
Draw24%
Ajax Amsterdam28%

Locked 17bef0d763a6 · Low

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

DWLWWDDWWW
Goals scored
28
Goals conceded
13

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-31Ajax Amsterdam vs AZ Alkmaar1–0No forecast
2026-10-25Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Amsterdam1–2No forecast
2026-10-18FC Groningen vs Ajax Amsterdam2–5No forecast
2026-10-10Ajax Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen1–1No forecast
2026-09-19Ajax Amsterdam vs Excelsior2–2No forecast
2026-09-15Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II5–1No forecast
2026-09-12Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam1–5No forecast
2026-09-05Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven1–3No forecast
2026-08-30Telstar vs Ajax Amsterdam0–4No forecast
2026-08-16Ajax Amsterdam vs Heerenveen2–2No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
FC MidtjyllandAjax Amsterdam48%24%28%Low
FC TwenteAjax AmsterdamForecast not yet locked

Our record on Ajax Amsterdam matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,674 current rating

175016751600Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1686.12025-11-22: 1672.92025-12-02: 1677.12025-12-06: 1683.42025-12-14: 1694.72025-12-20: 16932026-01-11: 1695.92026-01-17: 1691.62026-01-24: 1694.42026-02-01: 1689.82026-02-08: 1688.92026-02-14: 1693.82026-02-21: 1690.72026-03-01: 1687.22026-03-07: 1670.42026-03-14: 1677.52026-03-22: 1678.82026-04-04: 1669.32026-04-11: 1674.72026-04-25: 1679.12026-05-02: 1680.52026-05-10: 1670.32026-05-17: 1668.32026-08-09: 1654.72026-08-16: 1651.42026-08-30: 1658.82026-09-05: 1649.82026-09-12: 1658.52026-09-15: 1662.12026-09-19: 1657.32026-10-10: 1654.32026-10-18: 1663.52026-10-25: 1668.22026-10-31: 1673.5

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091686.1
2025-11-221672.9
2025-12-021677.1
2025-12-061683.4
2025-12-141694.7
2025-12-201693
2026-01-111695.9
2026-01-171691.6
2026-01-241694.4
2026-02-011689.8
2026-02-081688.9
2026-02-141693.8
2026-02-211690.7
2026-03-011687.2
2026-03-071670.4
2026-03-141677.5
2026-03-221678.8
2026-04-041669.3
2026-04-111674.7
2026-04-251679.1
2026-05-021680.5
2026-05-101670.3
2026-05-171668.3
2026-08-091654.7
2026-08-161651.4
2026-08-301658.8
2026-09-051649.8
2026-09-121658.5
2026-09-151662.1
2026-09-191657.3
2026-10-101654.3
2026-10-181663.5
2026-10-251668.2
2026-10-311673.5

Frequently asked questions

When is Ajax Amsterdam’s next match?

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax Amsterdam is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Ajax Amsterdam?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling