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Casa Pia predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Latest batch:

Next match

Primeira Liga

Alverca
VSComplexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Casa Pia

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

LLLLDLWLWL
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
19

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-30Casa Pia vs Sporting CP0–2No forecast
2026-10-24Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia0–2No forecast
2026-10-10Casa Pia vs Santa Clara0–1No forecast
2026-09-20Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia1–2No forecast
2026-09-12Casa Pia vs Porto1–4No forecast
2026-09-06Vitória SC vs Casa Pia0–0No forecast
2026-08-30Casa Pia vs Moreirense0–1No forecast
2026-08-24Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia2–0No forecast
2026-08-17Casa Pia vs Benfica0–7No forecast
2026-08-08Marítimo vs Casa Pia1–0No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
AlvercaCasa PiaForecast not yet locked

Our record on Casa Pia matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,352 current rating

145013751300Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1395.82025-11-29: 1381.12025-12-06: 1374.92025-12-13: 1375.22025-12-21: 13822025-12-28: 1383.32026-01-04: 1373.82026-01-16: 13712026-01-23: 1367.92026-02-02: 1380.32026-02-08: 1380.82026-02-14: 1387.82026-02-23: 1380.22026-03-01: 1380.22026-03-07: 1382.12026-03-20: 1367.92026-04-06: 1372.92026-04-12: 1361.92026-04-18: 1361.32026-04-23: 1357.42026-04-27: 1352.32026-05-03: 1342.62026-05-11: 1353.12026-05-16: 13602026-08-08: 1363.72026-08-17: 1357.62026-08-24: 1349.92026-08-30: 1342.32026-09-06: 1344.92026-09-12: 1340.32026-09-20: 1349.52026-10-10: 1342.62026-10-24: 1355.12026-10-30: 1351.5

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091395.8
2025-11-291381.1
2025-12-061374.9
2025-12-131375.2
2025-12-211382
2025-12-281383.3
2026-01-041373.8
2026-01-161371
2026-01-231367.9
2026-02-021380.3
2026-02-081380.8
2026-02-141387.8
2026-02-231380.2
2026-03-011380.2
2026-03-071382.1
2026-03-201367.9
2026-04-061372.9
2026-04-121361.9
2026-04-181361.3
2026-04-231357.4
2026-04-271352.3
2026-05-031342.6
2026-05-111353.1
2026-05-161360
2026-08-081363.7
2026-08-171357.6
2026-08-241349.9
2026-08-301342.3
2026-09-061344.9
2026-09-121340.3
2026-09-201349.5
2026-10-101342.6
2026-10-241355.1
2026-10-301351.5

Frequently asked questions

When is Casa Pia’s next match?

Alverca vs Casa Pia is scheduled for 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Casa Pia?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling