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Chelsea predictions

England · Premier League · Stamford Bridge

Latest batch:

Next match

Premier League

Sunderland
VSStadium of Light
Chelsea

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 9 league results this season · oldest to newest

WWLDLWWLW
Goals scored
19
Goals conceded
15

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-31Chelsea vs Manchester United2–0No forecast
2026-10-24Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur0–2No forecast
2026-10-17Everton vs Chelsea0–2No forecast
2026-10-10Chelsea vs Bournemouth5–1No forecast
2026-09-18Brentford vs Chelsea3–0No forecast
2026-09-12Chelsea vs Hull City2–2No forecast
2026-09-06Arsenal vs Chelsea2–1No forecast
2026-08-30Chelsea vs Brighton4–3No forecast
2026-08-24Fulham vs Chelsea2–3No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
SunderlandChelseaForecast not yet locked

Our record on Chelsea matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,528 current rating

165015501450Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-08: 1579.92025-11-22: 1587.52025-11-30: 1588.82025-12-03: 1573.52025-12-06: 1572.62025-12-13: 1580.12025-12-20: 1580.32025-12-27: 15722025-12-30: 1569.32026-01-04: 1572.62026-01-07: 1564.22026-01-17: 1572.52026-01-25: 1582.92026-01-31: 1586.62026-02-07: 1592.82026-02-10: 1589.22026-02-21: 1584.72026-03-01: 1580.32026-03-04: 1594.72026-03-14: 1585.22026-03-21: 1570.32026-04-12: 1559.92026-04-18: 15512026-04-21: 1538.62026-05-04: 1523.82026-05-09: 1526.72026-05-19: 1531.62026-05-24: 1521.32026-08-24: 1524.92026-08-30: 1531.32026-09-06: 1527.52026-09-12: 1522.52026-09-18: 1510.12026-10-10: 1522.12026-10-17: 1533.22026-10-24: 1517.82026-10-31: 1527.7

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-081579.9
2025-11-221587.5
2025-11-301588.8
2025-12-031573.5
2025-12-061572.6
2025-12-131580.1
2025-12-201580.3
2025-12-271572
2025-12-301569.3
2026-01-041572.6
2026-01-071564.2
2026-01-171572.5
2026-01-251582.9
2026-01-311586.6
2026-02-071592.8
2026-02-101589.2
2026-02-211584.7
2026-03-011580.3
2026-03-041594.7
2026-03-141585.2
2026-03-211570.3
2026-04-121559.9
2026-04-181551
2026-04-211538.6
2026-05-041523.8
2026-05-091526.7
2026-05-191531.6
2026-05-241521.3
2026-08-241524.9
2026-08-301531.3
2026-09-061527.5
2026-09-121522.5
2026-09-181510.1
2026-10-101522.1
2026-10-171533.2
2026-10-241517.8
2026-10-311527.7

Frequently asked questions

When is Chelsea’s next match?

Sunderland vs Chelsea is scheduled for 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Chelsea?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling