Estrela da Amadora predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Estádio José Gomes

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Primeira Liga

Estrela da Amadora
VSEstádio José Gomes
Benfica

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

DDWDWDLLLL
Goals scored
15
Goals conceded
19

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-31Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora2–1No forecast
2026-10-24Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia0–2No forecast
2026-10-11Arouca vs Estrela da Amadora1–0No forecast
2026-09-20Estrela da Amadora vs Académico de Viseu0–2No forecast
2026-09-14Rio Ave vs Estrela da Amadora3–3No forecast
2026-09-10Estrela da Amadora vs Braga2–1No forecast
2026-09-05Estrela da Amadora vs Famalicão2–2No forecast
2026-08-30Nacional vs Estrela da Amadora2–3No forecast
2026-08-15Alverca vs Estrela da Amadora2–2No forecast
2026-08-08Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting CP2–2No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Estrela da AmadoraBenficaForecast not yet locked

Our record on Estrela da Amadora matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,322 current rating

140013251250Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1327.42025-11-30: 1324.82025-12-07: 1336.32025-12-15: 1333.72025-12-20: 1334.42025-12-27: 1345.32026-01-03: 1348.82026-01-19: 1334.42026-01-25: 1331.42026-01-31: 1332.12026-02-07: 1339.52026-02-14: 1335.22026-02-20: 1321.22026-02-28: 1320.72026-03-08: 1322.12026-03-15: 1316.22026-03-20: 1330.52026-04-04: 1320.62026-04-11: 1318.72026-04-19: 1313.52026-04-26: 1311.32026-05-02: 1306.42026-05-11: 1308.82026-05-16: 13142026-08-08: 1335.42026-08-15: 1336.52026-08-30: 1345.42026-09-05: 1346.92026-09-10: 1357.82026-09-14: 1358.82026-09-20: 13452026-10-11: 13402026-10-24: 1327.42026-10-31: 1322.1

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091327.4
2025-11-301324.8
2025-12-071336.3
2025-12-151333.7
2025-12-201334.4
2025-12-271345.3
2026-01-031348.8
2026-01-191334.4
2026-01-251331.4
2026-01-311332.1
2026-02-071339.5
2026-02-141335.2
2026-02-201321.2
2026-02-281320.7
2026-03-081322.1
2026-03-151316.2
2026-03-201330.5
2026-04-041320.6
2026-04-111318.7
2026-04-191313.5
2026-04-261311.3
2026-05-021306.4
2026-05-111308.8
2026-05-161314
2026-08-081335.4
2026-08-151336.5
2026-08-301345.4
2026-09-051346.9
2026-09-101357.8
2026-09-141358.8
2026-09-201345
2026-10-111340
2026-10-241327.4
2026-10-311322.1

Frequently asked questions

When is Estrela da Amadora’s next match?

Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica is scheduled for 8 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Estrela da Amadora?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling