Mainz 05 predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · MEWA Arena

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Next match

Bundesliga

Mainz 05
VSMEWA Arena
Bayern Munich

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Last 8 league results this season · oldest to newest

DWLWLWLL
Goals scored
17
Goals conceded
17

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-30SV Elversberg vs Mainz 054–1No forecast
2026-10-24Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen2–3No forecast
2026-10-17Schalke 04 vs Mainz 050–1No forecast
2026-10-10Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen3–4No forecast
2026-09-19Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Mainz 053–4No forecast
2026-09-12Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3No forecast
2026-09-06Hamburger SV vs Mainz 050–5No forecast
2026-08-29Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn0–0No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Mainz 05Bayern MunichForecast not yet locked

Our record on Mainz 05 matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,466 current rating

155014751400Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1467.82025-11-21: 1466.82025-11-30: 1455.22025-12-05: 1446.62025-12-14: 14522025-12-21: 1449.12026-01-10: 1449.82026-01-13: 1454.62026-01-17: 14462026-01-24: 1455.72026-01-31: 1466.42026-02-07: 1474.92026-02-13: 1468.12026-02-20: 1465.32026-02-28: 1469.22026-03-07: 1470.32026-03-15: 1481.92026-03-22: 1489.62026-04-04: 1498.52026-04-12: 1489.82026-04-19: 1489.62026-04-25: 1486.52026-05-03: 1492.22026-05-10: 1477.12026-05-16: 1486.22026-08-29: 1483.42026-09-06: 1496.32026-09-12: 1483.82026-09-19: 1491.12026-10-10: 1485.32026-10-17: 1491.12026-10-24: 1481.72026-10-30: 1466

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091467.8
2025-11-211466.8
2025-11-301455.2
2025-12-051446.6
2025-12-141452
2025-12-211449.1
2026-01-101449.8
2026-01-131454.6
2026-01-171446
2026-01-241455.7
2026-01-311466.4
2026-02-071474.9
2026-02-131468.1
2026-02-201465.3
2026-02-281469.2
2026-03-071470.3
2026-03-151481.9
2026-03-221489.6
2026-04-041498.5
2026-04-121489.8
2026-04-191489.6
2026-04-251486.5
2026-05-031492.2
2026-05-101477.1
2026-05-161486.2
2026-08-291483.4
2026-09-061496.3
2026-09-121483.8
2026-09-191491.1
2026-10-101485.3
2026-10-171491.1
2026-10-241481.7
2026-10-301466

Frequently asked questions

When is Mainz 05’s next match?

Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich is scheduled for 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Mainz 05?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling