Moreirense predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Latest batch:

Next match

Primeira Liga

Sporting CP
VSEstádio José Alvalade
Moreirense

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

DLWLLWDLWW
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
17

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-31Moreirense vs Estrela da Amadora2–1No forecast
2026-10-25Estoril Praia vs Moreirense1–3No forecast
2026-10-09Moreirense vs Gil Vicente0–1No forecast
2026-09-20Vitória SC vs Moreirense1–1No forecast
2026-09-14Moreirense vs Marítimo3–1No forecast
2026-09-09Moreirense vs Benfica0–4No forecast
2026-09-04Porto vs Moreirense2–1No forecast
2026-08-30Casa Pia vs Moreirense0–1No forecast
2026-08-16Arouca vs Moreirense4–0No forecast
2026-08-09Moreirense vs Braga2–2No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Sporting CPMoreirenseForecast not yet locked

Our record on Moreirense matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,421 current rating

150014251350Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1446.52025-11-29: 1446.62025-12-07: 1447.12025-12-14: 1440.62025-12-20: 1439.92026-01-03: 1447.82026-01-11: 14522026-01-17: 1443.32026-01-24: 1449.22026-01-30: 1443.62026-02-07: 1435.62026-02-16: 14432026-02-21: 1438.12026-03-01: 1438.12026-03-07: 1435.72026-03-15: 1431.82026-03-21: 1422.92026-04-04: 1418.12026-04-10: 1420.52026-04-20: 1427.32026-04-25: 1423.82026-05-02: 1428.72026-05-11: 1415.42026-05-16: 1404.82026-08-09: 1414.42026-08-16: 1402.82026-08-30: 1410.42026-09-04: 1408.22026-09-09: 1402.52026-09-14: 1410.22026-09-20: 1411.72026-10-09: 1403.82026-10-25: 1415.82026-10-31: 1421.1

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091446.5
2025-11-291446.6
2025-12-071447.1
2025-12-141440.6
2025-12-201439.9
2026-01-031447.8
2026-01-111452
2026-01-171443.3
2026-01-241449.2
2026-01-301443.6
2026-02-071435.6
2026-02-161443
2026-02-211438.1
2026-03-011438.1
2026-03-071435.7
2026-03-151431.8
2026-03-211422.9
2026-04-041418.1
2026-04-101420.5
2026-04-201427.3
2026-04-251423.8
2026-05-021428.7
2026-05-111415.4
2026-05-161404.8
2026-08-091414.4
2026-08-161402.8
2026-08-301410.4
2026-09-041408.2
2026-09-091402.5
2026-09-141410.2
2026-09-201411.7
2026-10-091403.8
2026-10-251415.8
2026-10-311421.1

Frequently asked questions

When is Moreirense’s next match?

Sporting CP vs Moreirense is scheduled for 7 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Moreirense?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling