Alverca predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Latest batch:

Next match

Primeira Liga

Alverca
VSComplexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Casa Pia

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

LDLDLWWWLL
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
14

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-02Benfica vs Alverca1–0Correct
2026-10-24Alverca vs Arouca0–1No forecast
2026-10-12Famalicão vs Alverca1–4No forecast
2026-09-19Alverca vs Rio Ave1–0No forecast
2026-09-12Nacional vs Alverca1–3No forecast
2026-09-05Alverca vs Braga1–2No forecast
2026-08-29Alverca vs Santa Clara1–1No forecast
2026-08-22Sporting CP vs Alverca3–1No forecast
2026-08-15Alverca vs Estrela da Amadora2–2No forecast
2026-08-09Porto vs Alverca2–0No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
AlvercaCasa PiaForecast not yet locked

Our record on Alverca matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
100.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.021

2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,366 current rating

140013251250Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-08: 1299.62025-11-29: 1314.42025-12-07: 1321.52025-12-14: 1315.92025-12-22: 1311.72025-12-27: 13032026-01-04: 1312.52026-01-17: 1321.22026-01-25: 1316.22026-01-31: 1315.52026-02-08: 13142026-02-13: 1314.32026-02-21: 1314.22026-02-28: 1317.82026-03-07: 1315.52026-03-14: 1318.72026-03-22: 1315.42026-04-04: 1324.92026-04-12: 1335.92026-04-18: 1329.32026-04-24: 1337.22026-05-02: 1335.72026-05-10: 1336.12026-05-16: 1332.12026-08-09: 1343.62026-08-15: 1342.62026-08-22: 1340.22026-08-29: 1340.62026-09-05: 1336.52026-09-12: 1349.62026-09-19: 1356.42026-10-12: 1375.12026-10-24: 1367.92026-11-02: 1366.2

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-081299.6
2025-11-291314.4
2025-12-071321.5
2025-12-141315.9
2025-12-221311.7
2025-12-271303
2026-01-041312.5
2026-01-171321.2
2026-01-251316.2
2026-01-311315.5
2026-02-081314
2026-02-131314.3
2026-02-211314.2
2026-02-281317.8
2026-03-071315.5
2026-03-141318.7
2026-03-221315.4
2026-04-041324.9
2026-04-121335.9
2026-04-181329.3
2026-04-241337.2
2026-05-021335.7
2026-05-101336.1
2026-05-161332.1
2026-08-091343.6
2026-08-151342.6
2026-08-221340.2
2026-08-291340.6
2026-09-051336.5
2026-09-121349.6
2026-09-191356.4
2026-10-121375.1
2026-10-241367.9
2026-11-021366.2

Frequently asked questions

When is Alverca’s next match?

Alverca vs Casa Pia is scheduled for 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Alverca?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling