Aston Villa predictions

England · Premier League · Villa Park

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Premier League

Manchester United
VSOld Trafford
Aston Villa

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Recent form

Last 9 league results this season · oldest to newest

LLDLWDWWD
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
13

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-31Aston Villa vs Fulham1–1Missed
2026-10-24Aston Villa vs Manchester City2–1No forecast
2026-10-17Newcastle United vs Aston Villa0–1No forecast
2026-10-10Aston Villa vs Brentford2–2No forecast
2026-09-19Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa2–3No forecast
2026-09-12Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest1–2No forecast
2026-09-05Hull City vs Aston Villa0–0No forecast
2026-08-31Aston Villa vs Arsenal0–1No forecast
2026-08-23Brighton vs Aston Villa4–0No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Manchester UnitedAston VillaForecast not yet locked

Our record on Aston Villa matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
0.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.155

2026-10-31 to 2026-10-31 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,535 current rating

165015501450Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1550.22025-11-23: 1555.62025-11-30: 15592025-12-03: 1566.92025-12-06: 15762025-12-14: 1581.52025-12-21: 1586.62025-12-27: 1594.92025-12-30: 1586.92026-01-03: 15932026-01-07: 1592.22026-01-18: 1581.82026-01-25: 1593.62026-02-01: 1583.52026-02-07: 1582.72026-02-11: 1587.92026-02-21: 1584.42026-02-27: 1568.12026-03-04: 1553.72026-03-15: 1543.12026-03-22: 1549.62026-04-12: 1548.52026-04-19: 1551.62026-04-25: 1543.42026-05-03: 15332026-05-10: 15302026-05-15: 1542.92026-05-24: 1554.22026-08-23: 1533.42026-08-31: 1527.92026-09-05: 15242026-09-12: 1514.42026-09-19: 1521.12026-10-10: 1519.92026-10-17: 1527.82026-10-24: 1537.72026-10-31: 1535.3

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091550.2
2025-11-231555.6
2025-11-301559
2025-12-031566.9
2025-12-061576
2025-12-141581.5
2025-12-211586.6
2025-12-271594.9
2025-12-301586.9
2026-01-031593
2026-01-071592.2
2026-01-181581.8
2026-01-251593.6
2026-02-011583.5
2026-02-071582.7
2026-02-111587.9
2026-02-211584.4
2026-02-271568.1
2026-03-041553.7
2026-03-151543.1
2026-03-221549.6
2026-04-121548.5
2026-04-191551.6
2026-04-251543.4
2026-05-031533
2026-05-101530
2026-05-151542.9
2026-05-241554.2
2026-08-231533.4
2026-08-311527.9
2026-09-051524
2026-09-121514.4
2026-09-191521.1
2026-10-101519.9
2026-10-171527.8
2026-10-241537.7
2026-10-311535.3

Frequently asked questions

When is Aston Villa’s next match?

Manchester United vs Aston Villa is scheduled for 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Aston Villa?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling