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Bayer Leverkusen predictions

Germany · Bundesliga · BayArena

Latest batch:

Next match

Europa League

Bayer Leverkusen
VSBayArena
Marseille
Bayer Leverkusen61%
Draw21%
Marseille18%

Locked 85d042587fec · Medium

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 8 league results this season · oldest to newest

LWDWWWLL
Goals scored
18
Goals conceded
16

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-31Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart2–4No forecast
2026-10-25TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen3–0No forecast
2026-10-18Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg2–1No forecast
2026-10-10Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen3–4No forecast
2026-09-20Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2–0No forecast
2026-09-12FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen2–2No forecast
2026-09-05Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin4–0No forecast
2026-08-29SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen3–2No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Bayer LeverkusenMarseille61%21%18%Medium
1. FC KölnBayer LeverkusenForecast not yet locked

Our record on Bayer Leverkusen matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,643 current rating

175016751600Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-08: 1716.82025-11-22: 1723.22025-11-29: 1713.72025-12-06: 1696.92025-12-13: 1700.42025-12-20: 1711.42026-01-10: 16932026-01-17: 1683.42026-01-24: 1686.72026-01-31: 1696.22026-02-07: 1693.12026-02-14: 1697.42026-02-21: 1686.72026-02-28: 1682.82026-03-04: 1686.42026-03-07: 1684.32026-03-14: 1686.12026-03-21: 1681.62026-04-04: 1686.72026-04-11: 1695.52026-04-18: 1683.42026-04-25: 16872026-05-02: 1697.52026-05-09: 1685.42026-05-16: 1680.42026-08-29: 1649.92026-09-05: 1656.52026-09-12: 1654.42026-09-20: 1663.32026-10-10: 1669.12026-10-18: 1673.62026-10-25: 1657.12026-10-31: 1642.6

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-081716.8
2025-11-221723.2
2025-11-291713.7
2025-12-061696.9
2025-12-131700.4
2025-12-201711.4
2026-01-101693
2026-01-171683.4
2026-01-241686.7
2026-01-311696.2
2026-02-071693.1
2026-02-141697.4
2026-02-211686.7
2026-02-281682.8
2026-03-041686.4
2026-03-071684.3
2026-03-141686.1
2026-03-211681.6
2026-04-041686.7
2026-04-111695.5
2026-04-181683.4
2026-04-251687
2026-05-021697.5
2026-05-091685.4
2026-05-161680.4
2026-08-291649.9
2026-09-051656.5
2026-09-121654.4
2026-09-201663.3
2026-10-101669.1
2026-10-181673.6
2026-10-251657.1
2026-10-311642.6

Frequently asked questions

When is Bayer Leverkusen’s next match?

Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Bayer Leverkusen?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling