Braga predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Estádio Municipal de Braga

Latest batch:

Next match

Conference League

AGF
VSCepheus Park Randers
Braga
AGF29%
Draw27%
Braga44%

Locked 51cd539f8aa2 · Low

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

DWWLWDLLLW
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
11

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-01Braga vs Famalicão3–0Correct
2026-10-25Nacional vs Braga1–0No forecast
2026-10-19Braga vs Gil Vicente1–2No forecast
2026-10-09Braga vs Sporting CP1–3No forecast
2026-09-20Santa Clara vs Braga0–0No forecast
2026-09-14Braga vs Estoril Praia1–0No forecast
2026-09-10Estrela da Amadora vs Braga2–1No forecast
2026-09-05Alverca vs Braga1–2No forecast
2026-08-31Braga vs Vitória SC1–0No forecast
2026-08-09Moreirense vs Braga2–2No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
AGFBraga29%27%44%Low
Rio AveBragaForecast not yet locked

Our record on Braga matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
100.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.148

2026-11-01 to 2026-11-01 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,617 current rating

170016251550Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1649.62025-12-01: 1658.62025-12-06: 1664.72025-12-15: 1668.12025-12-19: 1657.72025-12-28: 1659.22026-01-03: 1655.62026-01-18: 1658.82026-01-25: 1663.92026-02-02: 1668.82026-02-08: 1673.92026-02-14: 1664.42026-02-21: 1668.92026-02-28: 1672.62026-03-07: 1674.82026-03-22: 1668.52026-04-04: 1673.22026-04-12: 1676.52026-04-19: 1673.32026-04-23: 1677.32026-04-26: 1666.52026-05-03: 1662.32026-05-11: 1665.72026-05-16: 1660.62026-08-09: 1639.62026-08-31: 1643.72026-09-05: 1647.82026-09-10: 1636.92026-09-14: 1640.32026-09-20: 1638.22026-10-09: 1629.92026-10-19: 1619.12026-10-25: 1608.32026-11-01: 1617.4

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091649.6
2025-12-011658.6
2025-12-061664.7
2025-12-151668.1
2025-12-191657.7
2025-12-281659.2
2026-01-031655.6
2026-01-181658.8
2026-01-251663.9
2026-02-021668.8
2026-02-081673.9
2026-02-141664.4
2026-02-211668.9
2026-02-281672.6
2026-03-071674.8
2026-03-221668.5
2026-04-041673.2
2026-04-121676.5
2026-04-191673.3
2026-04-231677.3
2026-04-261666.5
2026-05-031662.3
2026-05-111665.7
2026-05-161660.6
2026-08-091639.6
2026-08-311643.7
2026-09-051647.8
2026-09-101636.9
2026-09-141640.3
2026-09-201638.2
2026-10-091629.9
2026-10-191619.1
2026-10-251608.3
2026-11-011617.4

Frequently asked questions

When is Braga’s next match?

AGF vs Braga is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Braga?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling