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Brighton predictions

England · Premier League · American Express Stadium

Latest batch:

Next match

Conference League

Getafe
VSColiseum
Brighton
Getafe19%
Draw26%
Brighton55%

Locked 878b1bca9908 · Medium

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 9 league results this season · oldest to newest

WLDWWWWLW
Goals scored
24
Goals conceded
7

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-10-31Manchester City vs Brighton0–1No forecast
2026-10-25Liverpool vs Brighton2–0No forecast
2026-10-18Brighton vs Crystal Palace5–0No forecast
2026-10-10Sunderland vs Brighton0–2No forecast
2026-09-19Brighton vs Arsenal3–0No forecast
2026-09-13Coventry City vs Brighton0–5No forecast
2026-09-05Brighton vs Leeds United1–1No forecast
2026-08-30Chelsea vs Brighton4–3No forecast
2026-08-23Brighton vs Aston Villa4–0No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
GetafeBrighton19%26%55%Medium
BrightonBrentfordForecast not yet locked

Our record on Brighton matches

Graded matches
0
Correct · 1X2
—
RPS · lower is better
—

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,555 current rating

160015251450Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1509.42025-11-22: 1515.52025-11-30: 1526.12025-12-03: 1518.12025-12-07: 1515.22025-12-13: 1508.82025-12-20: 1504.32025-12-27: 1500.82025-12-30: 1499.62026-01-03: 1505.72026-01-07: 1509.82026-01-19: 15082026-01-24: 1500.52026-01-31: 1498.92026-02-08: 14902026-02-11: 1484.82026-02-21: 1497.62026-03-01: 1502.82026-03-04: 14982026-03-14: 1502.82026-03-21: 1511.92026-04-11: 1519.62026-04-18: 1518.62026-04-21: 15312026-05-02: 1520.42026-05-09: 1526.62026-05-17: 1518.32026-05-24: 1504.42026-08-23: 1515.82026-08-30: 1509.42026-09-05: 1507.32026-09-13: 1517.12026-09-19: 1534.52026-10-10: 15422026-10-18: 1552.32026-10-25: 1544.22026-10-31: 1555.3

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091509.4
2025-11-221515.5
2025-11-301526.1
2025-12-031518.1
2025-12-071515.2
2025-12-131508.8
2025-12-201504.3
2025-12-271500.8
2025-12-301499.6
2026-01-031505.7
2026-01-071509.8
2026-01-191508
2026-01-241500.5
2026-01-311498.9
2026-02-081490
2026-02-111484.8
2026-02-211497.6
2026-03-011502.8
2026-03-041498
2026-03-141502.8
2026-03-211511.9
2026-04-111519.6
2026-04-181518.6
2026-04-211531
2026-05-021520.4
2026-05-091526.6
2026-05-171518.3
2026-05-241504.4
2026-08-231515.8
2026-08-301509.4
2026-09-051507.3
2026-09-131517.1
2026-09-191534.5
2026-10-101542
2026-10-181552.3
2026-10-251544.2
2026-10-311555.3

Frequently asked questions

When is Brighton’s next match?

Getafe vs Brighton is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Brighton?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling