Famalicão predictions

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Estádio Municipal de Famalicão

Latest batch:

Next match

Primeira Liga

Famalicão
VSEstádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Arouca

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

DLLDDDWLWL
Goals scored
14
Goals conceded
14

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-01Braga vs Famalicão3–0Correct
2026-10-25Rio Ave vs Famalicão0–4No forecast
2026-10-12Famalicão vs Alverca1–4No forecast
2026-09-19Nacional vs Famalicão0–4No forecast
2026-09-13Famalicão vs Sporting CP1–1No forecast
2026-09-05Estrela da Amadora vs Famalicão2–2No forecast
2026-08-30Famalicão vs Gil Vicente0–0No forecast
2026-08-23Santa Clara vs Famalicão1–0No forecast
2026-08-16Famalicão vs Marítimo1–2No forecast
2026-08-07Estoril Praia vs Famalicão1–1No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
FamalicãoAroucaForecast not yet locked

Our record on Famalicão matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
100.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.148

2026-11-01 to 2026-11-01 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,503 current rating

160015251450Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1510.22025-11-29: 1510.12025-12-06: 1503.92025-12-14: 15142025-12-22: 1511.12025-12-27: 1500.32026-01-04: 1490.72026-01-18: 1497.82026-01-25: 15042026-02-01: 1489.52026-02-09: 1494.12026-02-15: 1491.82026-02-23: 1499.42026-03-01: 1498.22026-03-06: 1503.52026-03-14: 1511.72026-03-21: 1515.82026-04-04: 1520.52026-04-10: 1518.12026-04-19: 1521.22026-04-26: 1528.22026-05-02: 1531.82026-05-11: 1529.32026-05-16: 1533.32026-08-07: 1526.82026-08-16: 1515.42026-08-23: 1507.22026-08-30: 1505.62026-09-05: 1504.12026-09-13: 1507.92026-09-19: 15192026-10-12: 1500.32026-10-25: 1512.22026-11-01: 1503.2

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091510.2
2025-11-291510.1
2025-12-061503.9
2025-12-141514
2025-12-221511.1
2025-12-271500.3
2026-01-041490.7
2026-01-181497.8
2026-01-251504
2026-02-011489.5
2026-02-091494.1
2026-02-151491.8
2026-02-231499.4
2026-03-011498.2
2026-03-061503.5
2026-03-141511.7
2026-03-211515.8
2026-04-041520.5
2026-04-101518.1
2026-04-191521.2
2026-04-261528.2
2026-05-021531.8
2026-05-111529.3
2026-05-161533.3
2026-08-071526.8
2026-08-161515.4
2026-08-231507.2
2026-08-301505.6
2026-09-051504.1
2026-09-131507.9
2026-09-191519
2026-10-121500.3
2026-10-251512.2
2026-11-011503.2

Frequently asked questions

When is Famalicão’s next match?

Famalicão vs Arouca is scheduled for 6 Nov 2026, 20:45 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Famalicão?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling