Middlesbrough predictions

England · EFL Championship · Riverside Stadium

Latest batch:

Next match

EFL Championship

Watford
VSVicarage Road
Middlesbrough

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

WWDDWWDWWL
Goals scored
23
Goals conceded
14

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-04Wrexham vs Middlesbrough2–0Missed
2026-10-31Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic3–0No forecast
2026-10-23Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough1–5No forecast
2026-10-17Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City2–2No forecast
2026-10-13Stoke City vs Middlesbrough2–3No forecast
2026-10-10Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers1–0No forecast
2026-09-19Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough2–2No forecast
2026-09-15Middlesbrough vs Millwall2–2No forecast
2026-09-12Middlesbrough vs Norwich City4–3No forecast
2026-09-05Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough0–1No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
WatfordMiddlesbroughForecast not yet locked

Our record on Middlesbrough matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
0.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.321

2026-11-04 to 2026-11-04 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,594 current rating

165015751500Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-08: 1560.62025-11-22: 1558.92025-11-25: 1547.72025-11-29: 1552.72025-12-05: 1565.52025-12-09: 1571.42025-12-13: 15792025-12-20: 1567.42025-12-26: 1565.12025-12-29: 1555.72026-01-01: 1547.22026-01-04: 1559.72026-01-16: 1567.12026-01-21: 1574.32026-01-24: 1584.12026-01-31: 1589.12026-02-09: 1597.42026-02-16: 1587.52026-02-21: 1583.62026-02-24: 1582.12026-03-02: 1591.62026-03-08: 1603.42026-03-11: 1592.22026-03-14: 1589.62026-03-21: 1588.22026-04-03: 1579.22026-04-06: 1578.52026-04-11: 1567.62026-04-19: 1569.42026-04-22: 1572.22026-04-25: 1581.12026-05-02: 1580.32026-05-09: 1580.22026-05-12: 1581.82026-05-23: 1574.22026-08-15: 15692026-08-22: 1560.62026-08-29: 1569.22026-09-02: 1570.92026-09-05: 1577.72026-09-12: 1583.52026-09-15: 15822026-09-19: 1581.12026-10-10: 1589.22026-10-13: 1595.42026-10-17: 1591.32026-10-23: 1600.82026-10-31: 1607.32026-11-04: 1594.3

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-081560.6
2025-11-221558.9
2025-11-251547.7
2025-11-291552.7
2025-12-051565.5
2025-12-091571.4
2025-12-131579
2025-12-201567.4
2025-12-261565.1
2025-12-291555.7
2026-01-011547.2
2026-01-041559.7
2026-01-161567.1
2026-01-211574.3
2026-01-241584.1
2026-01-311589.1
2026-02-091597.4
2026-02-161587.5
2026-02-211583.6
2026-02-241582.1
2026-03-021591.6
2026-03-081603.4
2026-03-111592.2
2026-03-141589.6
2026-03-211588.2
2026-04-031579.2
2026-04-061578.5
2026-04-111567.6
2026-04-191569.4
2026-04-221572.2
2026-04-251581.1
2026-05-021580.3
2026-05-091580.2
2026-05-121581.8
2026-05-231574.2
2026-08-151569
2026-08-221560.6
2026-08-291569.2
2026-09-021570.9
2026-09-051577.7
2026-09-121583.5
2026-09-151582
2026-09-191581.1
2026-10-101589.2
2026-10-131595.4
2026-10-171591.3
2026-10-231600.8
2026-10-311607.3
2026-11-041594.3

Frequently asked questions

When is Middlesbrough’s next match?

Watford vs Middlesbrough is scheduled for 7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Middlesbrough?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling