Toulouse predictions

France · Ligue 1 · Stadium Municipal de Toulouse

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Ligue 1

Toulouse
VSStadium Municipal de Toulouse
Strasbourg

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Recent form

Last 9 league results this season · oldest to newest

LDLDWDWDL
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
13

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-01Marseille vs Toulouse2–0Correct
2026-10-25Toulouse vs Troyes0–0No forecast
2026-10-16Le Mans vs Toulouse0–3No forecast
2026-10-10AS Monaco vs Toulouse2–2No forecast
2026-09-19Toulouse vs Le Havre AC3–2No forecast
2026-09-12Lorient vs Toulouse2–2No forecast
2026-09-03Toulouse vs Lille0–1No forecast
2026-08-29Brest vs Toulouse2–2No forecast
2026-08-22Toulouse vs Lyon0–2No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
ToulouseStrasbourgForecast not yet locked

Our record on Toulouse matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
100.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.125

2026-11-01 to 2026-11-01 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,472 current rating

155014751400Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1474.72025-11-23: 1464.62025-11-29: 1468.22025-12-06: 1475.82025-12-13: 1486.42026-01-02: 1475.32026-01-17: 1489.32026-01-25: 1502.12026-02-01: 1499.12026-02-08: 1490.62026-02-15: 1482.12026-02-21: 1478.92026-02-28: 1473.32026-03-07: 1467.22026-03-15: 1472.62026-03-21: 1478.12026-04-03: 1474.42026-04-12: 1462.82026-04-17: 1458.42026-04-25: 1459.82026-05-03: 1469.52026-05-10: 1478.42026-08-22: 1469.92026-08-29: 1470.72026-09-03: 1464.52026-09-12: 1464.62026-09-19: 1469.82026-10-10: 1472.82026-10-16: 1483.42026-10-25: 1479.82026-11-01: 1472.3

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091474.7
2025-11-231464.6
2025-11-291468.2
2025-12-061475.8
2025-12-131486.4
2026-01-021475.3
2026-01-171489.3
2026-01-251502.1
2026-02-011499.1
2026-02-081490.6
2026-02-151482.1
2026-02-211478.9
2026-02-281473.3
2026-03-071467.2
2026-03-151472.6
2026-03-211478.1
2026-04-031474.4
2026-04-121462.8
2026-04-171458.4
2026-04-251459.8
2026-05-031469.5
2026-05-101478.4
2026-08-221469.9
2026-08-291470.7
2026-09-031464.5
2026-09-121464.6
2026-09-191469.8
2026-10-101472.8
2026-10-161483.4
2026-10-251479.8
2026-11-011472.3

Frequently asked questions

When is Toulouse’s next match?

Toulouse vs Strasbourg is scheduled for 6 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Toulouse?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling