Bolton Wanderers predictions

England · EFL Championship · Toughsheet Community Stadium

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EFL Championship

Derby County
VSPride Park
Bolton Wanderers

Forecast not yet locked. Probabilities appear at , 24 hours before kickoff.

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Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

LLWWLWDLLW
Goals scored
15
Goals conceded
21

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-03Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers0–1Missed
2026-10-31Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City2–3No forecast
2026-10-23Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough1–5No forecast
2026-10-17Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers0–0No forecast
2026-10-13Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers1–3No forecast
2026-10-10Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City1–2No forecast
2026-09-20Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers3–4No forecast
2026-09-12Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City1–0No forecast
2026-09-08Bolton Wanderers vs West Ham United2–3No forecast
2026-09-05Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers4–0No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Derby CountyBolton WanderersForecast not yet locked

Our record on Bolton Wanderers matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
0.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.349

2026-11-03 to 2026-11-03 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,360 current rating

1400135013008 Aug30 Aug21 Sep13 Oct5 Nov2026-08-15: 1354.42026-08-22: 1356.72026-08-29: 1347.92026-09-01: 1343.92026-09-05: 1336.72026-09-08: 1333.92026-09-12: 1340.52026-09-20: 1351.52026-10-10: 1344.32026-10-13: 1362.92026-10-17: 1367.32026-10-23: 1357.82026-10-31: 13512026-11-03: 1359.9

Available history begins 2026-08-15, so the chart starts there; earlier months have no observations.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2026-08-151354.4
2026-08-221356.7
2026-08-291347.9
2026-09-011343.9
2026-09-051336.7
2026-09-081333.9
2026-09-121340.5
2026-09-201351.5
2026-10-101344.3
2026-10-131362.9
2026-10-171367.3
2026-10-231357.8
2026-10-311351
2026-11-031359.9

Frequently asked questions

When is Bolton Wanderers’s next match?

Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers is scheduled for 6 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Bolton Wanderers?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling