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Lyon predictions

France · Ligue 1 · Groupama Stadium

Latest batch:

Next match

Europa League

Real Sociedad
VSReale Arena
Lyon
Real Sociedad45%
Draw25%
Lyon30%

Locked 0793b8b83450 · Low

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 9 league results this season · oldest to newest

WDWDWLWLW
Goals scored
15
Goals conceded
7

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-01Lyon vs Angers2–0Correct
2026-10-26Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon2–0No forecast
2026-10-18Lyon vs Nice2–1No forecast
2026-10-09Lens vs Lyon2–1No forecast
2026-09-19Lyon vs Stade Rennais4–0No forecast
2026-09-12Paris FC vs Lyon0–0No forecast
2026-09-04Lyon vs AJ Auxerre3–1No forecast
2026-08-29Lyon vs Le Havre AC1–1No forecast
2026-08-22Toulouse vs Lyon0–2No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Real SociedadLyon45%25%30%Low
BrestLyonForecast not yet locked

Our record on Lyon matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
100.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.062

2026-11-01 to 2026-11-01 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,607 current rating

170016251550Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-09: 1589.92025-11-23: 1587.42025-11-30: 15942025-12-07: 1583.52025-12-14: 15872026-01-03: 1599.82026-01-18: 1604.92026-01-25: 1611.82026-02-01: 1618.22026-02-07: 1622.62026-02-15: 1630.42026-02-22: 1618.42026-03-01: 1611.92026-03-08: 1607.42026-03-15: 1604.62026-03-22: 1596.42026-04-05: 1593.72026-04-12: 1599.52026-04-19: 16112026-04-25: 1614.42026-05-03: 1623.62026-05-10: 1614.62026-05-17: 15992026-08-22: 1598.62026-08-29: 1594.72026-09-04: 1600.52026-09-12: 1598.82026-09-19: 1610.52026-10-09: 1603.82026-10-18: 1608.52026-10-26: 1602.42026-11-01: 1607.3

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-091589.9
2025-11-231587.4
2025-11-301594
2025-12-071583.5
2025-12-141587
2026-01-031599.8
2026-01-181604.9
2026-01-251611.8
2026-02-011618.2
2026-02-071622.6
2026-02-151630.4
2026-02-221618.4
2026-03-011611.9
2026-03-081607.4
2026-03-151604.6
2026-03-221596.4
2026-04-051593.7
2026-04-121599.5
2026-04-191611
2026-04-251614.4
2026-05-031623.6
2026-05-101614.6
2026-05-171599
2026-08-221598.6
2026-08-291594.7
2026-09-041600.5
2026-09-121598.8
2026-09-191610.5
2026-10-091603.8
2026-10-181608.5
2026-10-261602.4
2026-11-011607.3

Frequently asked questions

When is Lyon’s next match?

Real Sociedad vs Lyon is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Lyon?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling