Marseille predictions
France · Ligue 1 · Stade Vélodrome
Recent form
Last 9 league results this season · oldest to newest
- Goals scored
- 20
- Goals conceded
- 13
Recent results
Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.
| Date | Match | Score | 1X2 forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Marseille vs Toulouse | 2–0 | Correct |
| 2026-10-25 | Marseille vs Le Havre AC | 4–3 | No forecast |
| 2026-10-18 | Angers vs Marseille | 2–5 | No forecast |
| 2026-10-11 | Troyes vs Marseille | 0–2 | No forecast |
| 2026-09-20 | Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 | No forecast |
| 2026-09-11 | Stade Rennais vs Marseille | 1–0 | No forecast |
| 2026-09-06 | Marseille vs Paris FC | 2–3 | No forecast |
| 2026-08-30 | AS Monaco vs Marseille | 2–0 | No forecast |
| 2026-08-21 | Marseille vs Strasbourg | 4–0 | No forecast |
Upcoming fixtures
Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.
| Kickoff | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Tier · Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer LeverkusenMarseille | 61%21%18% | Medium | |||
| LensMarseille | Forecast not yet locked | ||||
Our record on Marseille matches
- Graded matches
- 1
- Correct · 1X2
- 100.0%
- RPS · lower is better
- 0.125
2026-11-01 to 2026-11-01 · Includes picks for either side and draws.
Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.
League track recordElo · last 12 months
1,597 current rating
Rating after each match over the last 12 months.
Rating values and method
Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.
| Match date | Elo after match |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 1640.3 |
| 2025-11-21 | 1654.4 |
| 2025-11-29 | 1650.9 |
| 2025-12-05 | 1643.9 |
| 2025-12-14 | 1649.8 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1631.6 |
| 2026-01-17 | 1639.8 |
| 2026-01-24 | 1649.6 |
| 2026-01-31 | 1645.8 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1638.1 |
| 2026-02-14 | 1635.6 |
| 2026-02-20 | 1622.5 |
| 2026-03-01 | 1629.1 |
| 2026-03-07 | 1635.1 |
| 2026-03-13 | 1638.2 |
| 2026-03-22 | 1629.1 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1622.5 |
| 2026-04-10 | 1626 |
| 2026-04-18 | 1610.8 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1608.1 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1589.5 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1594.4 |
| 2026-05-17 | 1603.9 |
| 2026-08-21 | 1604 |
| 2026-08-30 | 1593.8 |
| 2026-09-06 | 1582.9 |
| 2026-09-11 | 1576.2 |
| 2026-09-20 | 1570.8 |
| 2026-10-11 | 1577.4 |
| 2026-10-18 | 1586.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | 1589.9 |
| 2026-11-01 | 1597.4 |
Frequently asked questions
When is Marseille’s next match?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.
How do you grade predictions about Marseille?
We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.
Why are some probabilities unavailable?
A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.
For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling