Real Sociedad predictions

Spain · La Liga · Reale Arena

Latest batch:

Next match

Europa League

Real Sociedad
VSReale Arena
Lyon
Real Sociedad45%
Draw25%
Lyon30%

Locked 0793b8b83450 · Low

View match forecast

Recent form

Last 10 league results this season · oldest to newest

LWDWLWWWWL
Goals scored
20
Goals conceded
19

Recent results

Up to 10 latest league results this season · score is neutral; the badge grades our forecast, not the team’s performance. Matches before our forecasts began show “No forecast”.

DateMatchScore1X2 forecast
2026-11-01Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad2–1Correct
2026-10-25Real Sociedad vs Levante2–1No forecast
2026-10-18Málaga vs Real Sociedad2–5No forecast
2026-10-11Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruña3–2No forecast
2026-09-20Valencia vs Real Sociedad2–3No forecast
2026-09-13Real Sociedad vs Atlético Madrid0–3No forecast
2026-09-07Elche vs Real Sociedad2–3No forecast
2026-09-03Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo0–0No forecast
2026-08-29Real Sociedad vs Espanyol2–1No forecast
2026-08-26Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad4–1No forecast

Upcoming fixtures

Up to 5 confirmed fixtures · probabilities shown only after the lock · kickoff in your local time.

KickoffMatchHomeDrawAwayTier · Analysis
Real SociedadLyon45%25%30%Low
Real SociedadRayo VallecanoForecast not yet locked

Our record on Real Sociedad matches

Graded matches
1
Correct · 1X2
100.0%
RPS · lower is better
0.182

2026-11-01 to 2026-11-01 · Includes picks for either side and draws.

Early sample: fewer than 100 graded matches. This is not a reliable estimate of future accuracy.

League track record

Elo · last 12 months

1,472 current rating

155014751400Nov 2025Feb 2026May 2026Aug 2026Nov 20262025-11-07: 1462.22025-11-22: 1474.22025-11-30: 14682025-12-06: 1460.12025-12-12: 1450.82025-12-20: 1448.72026-01-04: 1451.32026-01-09: 1458.82026-01-18: 1470.22026-01-25: 1480.62026-02-01: 1482.22026-02-07: 1488.42026-02-14: 1483.42026-02-21: 1479.42026-02-28: 1486.42026-03-07: 1482.22026-03-15: 1491.52026-03-20: 1484.12026-04-04: 14902026-04-11: 1487.32026-04-22: 14782026-04-26: 14782026-05-04: 1469.82026-05-09: 1470.12026-05-14: 1470.32026-05-17: 1461.32026-05-23: 1460.62026-08-21: 14562026-08-26: 1450.82026-08-29: 1456.32026-09-03: 1455.22026-09-07: 1461.72026-09-13: 1450.92026-09-20: 1459.12026-10-11: 1463.72026-10-18: 1473.62026-10-25: 1478.52026-11-01: 1472

Rating after each match over the last 12 months.

Rating values and method

Elo from real league results, the same ratings the published model uses: K = 15, home advantage = 60, ratings pulled 10% towards the league average each summer, promoted clubs start at the average of the three lowest.

Match dateElo after match
2025-11-071462.2
2025-11-221474.2
2025-11-301468
2025-12-061460.1
2025-12-121450.8
2025-12-201448.7
2026-01-041451.3
2026-01-091458.8
2026-01-181470.2
2026-01-251480.6
2026-02-011482.2
2026-02-071488.4
2026-02-141483.4
2026-02-211479.4
2026-02-281486.4
2026-03-071482.2
2026-03-151491.5
2026-03-201484.1
2026-04-041490
2026-04-111487.3
2026-04-221478
2026-04-261478
2026-05-041469.8
2026-05-091470.1
2026-05-141470.3
2026-05-171461.3
2026-05-231460.6
2026-08-211456
2026-08-261450.8
2026-08-291456.3
2026-09-031455.2
2026-09-071461.7
2026-09-131450.9
2026-09-201459.1
2026-10-111463.7
2026-10-181473.6
2026-10-251478.5
2026-11-011472

Frequently asked questions

When is Real Sociedad’s next match?

Real Sociedad vs Lyon is scheduled for 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC in our fixture list, updated every hour. On this page kickoff times follow your selected time zone.

How do you grade predictions about Real Sociedad?

We compare the highest published 1X2 probability with the result after 90 minutes. Picks can favour either team or a draw. RPS evaluates the full probability distribution; lower is better. Misses remain in the record.

Why are some probabilities unavailable?

A match forecast appears after its pre-match lock and only when required data checks pass. Season top-four and relegation estimates require a full-league simulation. Missing values are not zero probabilities.

For information and entertainment only. Not betting advice. 18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Responsible gambling